What the Autumn Budget 2025 Means for Business, Households & Growth
1. The Timing & Backdrop
The Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, will deliver the Autumn Budget on 26 November 2025, in the House of Commons.
This year’s Budget takes place against a challenging economic backdrop:
- Sluggish growth and weak productivity remain issues for the UK economy.
- The government must adhere to its self-imposed fiscal rules: namely that day-to-day spending must be matched by tax revenues, and net debt must fall as a share of GDP.
- With borrowing costs rising and government finances under pressure, there is speculation the Chancellor will need to raise new revenue or reform tax allowances.
2. What We Might See
Nothing is confirmed yet, but key areas being flagged by tax commentators include:
- Wealth, property & capital taxation: There is speculation changes may come to inheritance tax (IHT), capital gains tax (CGT), or property-based levies.
- Freezing or reforming tax thresholds: Rather than raising headline tax rates, the government may rely on “fiscal drag” (freezing thresholds so more people pay more tax over time).
- Business tax and technical changes: For firms, expectations include reform of transfer-pricing rules, carbon border adjustment mechanism, energy profits levy, and business rate reform.
- Promised tax status for working people: Importantly, the government has reiterated it does not intend to raise basic income tax, VAT or national insurance for “working people”.
3. How This Affects Business & Manufacturing
For manufacturers and SMEs — including those in sectors like plastics, engineering or using ERP/MRP systems — the Autumn Budget could have significant implications:
- Cost management & investment: If new levies or tax changes are introduced, your cost base may be impacted. It may be wise to consider whether planned investment (machinery, software, automation) should be brought forward.
- Supply-chain and material impact: Changes in business tax, import duty reliefs or carbon/energy levies could affect material sourcing and operational costs.
- Compliance & system readiness: Reforms to tax rules or thresholds will increase the importance of accurate data and systems — ERP/MRP solutions that provide integrated financial, procurement, production and inventory data will be a differentiator.
- Opportunity for differentiation: Firms that act early and adapt can turn change into opportunity — e.g. by streamlining operations, improving traceability, reducing waste and improving margins ahead of peers.
4. Practical Steps You Can Take Now
- Review your investment plans: If you are considering capital expenditure (machinery, automation, software upgrades) check whether timing might offer benefit ahead of any announced changes.
- Check your cost structures: Map where your business is exposed to potential tax/levy changes (property, energy, carbon, business rates) and stress-test different scenarios.
- Ensure your systems are up to date: An ERP/MRP solution that connects production, procurement, finance and quality is more vital than ever in a changing fiscal environment.
- Communicate with your team and suppliers: A Budget that brings change will ripple through supply chains — supplier cost increases, lead time changes or regulatory shifts may follow.
- Stay informed: Set aside time to monitor the Budget announcements on 26 November and review expert commentary. This will enable you to make rapid strategic decisions.
5. Final Thoughts
The Autumn Budget 2025 isn’t just about tax rates or headline announcements — it’s about long-term fiscal strategy, growth and stability. For businesses, especially in manufacturing and supply chains, it’s a signal to act: strengthen your systems, sharpen your cost control, invest wisely, and be ready for change.
By adopting a proactive mindset, you can use this Budget as a catalyst for improvement rather than waiting reactively. Whether it’s better data, streamlined production, or smarter investment — firms that prepare now will be ahead when the announcements land.

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